AM Best believes proposed public-private partnerships to address the disastrous effects on businesses related to COVID-19 are warranted, given the systemic risk posed by the pandemic.
In its new Best’s Commentary, “Retroactive Legislation, Social Inflation: Credit Negatives for Insurers,” AM Best states that it expects significant reserve uncertainty arising for the current accident year given the challenge for insurers to estimate ultimate losses resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic and the related shutdowns. Social inflation, combined with lawsuits addressing liability policies, will drive defense containment costs significantly higher. Court decisions will influence actual claims payouts, creating challenges in determining prudent reserve estimates and payout patterns. In addition, a number of legislative and policy measures are being contemplated that would nullify business interruption coverage exclusions in commercial property policies and force insurers to compensate policyholders for risks that were excluded during underwriting. Insurers with smaller capital bases in particular would be