Union Pacific (UNP) reports earnings on October 22nd. Analysts expect revenue of $4.89 billion and EPS of $1.98. The revenue estimate implies a double-digit percentage decline in revenue. Investors should focus on the following key items.
Revenue Continues To Decline
The pandemic has practically shut down business activity. Falling business activity leads to falling revenue traffic and falling revenue for Union Pacific. For the first 38 weeks of 2020, combined U.S. rail traffic (carloads and intermodal units) fell 10.9% Y/Y. That portends a decline in revenue for Union Pacific.
Last quarter, rail traffic and average selling price (“ASP”) fell 20% and 6%, respectively. Each of the company’s major product categories experienced revenue declines.
The Bulk segment included coal, grain, food, fertilizer, coal and renewables. Revenue from the segment declined 17% on a 15% decline in carloads and 2% decline in ASP. Coal was negatively impacted by lower natural