NEW YORK (Reuters) – In spite of the rally in risk markets this year, Pacific Investment Management Company (PIMCO) expects low returns across asset classes in the coming three to five years as the global economy recovers from the coronavirus pandemic.
Published on Wednesday, the investment giant’s outlook argues that given the current high valuations in credit and equity markets, and the likelihood that interest rates will be kept near zero, investors should expect a stagnation or decline in profit as a percentage of gross domestic product.
Credit and equity markets have been bolstered this year by investors’ hunt for yield. With interest rates near zero, share prices have risen and borrowing costs have fallen for riskier companies. But the pandemic’s economic realities still mean that revenue – especially in sectors like travel, entertainment and hospitality – won’t quickly recover, and central banks are unlikely to intervene to prevent defaults